Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.455708 3.836812 4.250238 4.733307 5.283844 5.893557 6.622430
2025-06-01 2.862877 3.362632 3.942880 4.671016 5.566785 6.641131 8.039775
2025-06-08 2.500135 3.058330 3.739350 4.640591 5.815746 7.315390 9.405374
2025-06-15 2.319841 2.935292 3.718012 4.801843 6.288223 8.291900 11.261504
2025-06-22 2.113152 2.747158 3.580960 4.779125 6.492599 8.911722 12.691784
2025-06-29 1.936090 2.575992 3.442187 4.727741 6.635371 9.442286 14.044353
2025-07-06 1.728205 2.341958 3.192041 4.486812 6.466570 9.480185 14.623058
2025-07-13 1.628335 2.249421 3.130679 4.510378 6.688858 10.129229 16.264537
2025-07-20 1.558577 2.193093 3.114596 4.596411 7.011100 10.966402 18.339837
2025-07-27 1.499986 2.147557 3.108919 4.694751 7.358581 11.879923 20.685800
2025-08-03 1.438675 2.092610 3.083166 4.756082 7.646811 12.720395 23.023832
2025-08-10 1.376169 2.030883 3.041136 4.784913 7.878720 13.482999 25.328262
2025-08-17 1.280489 1.912791 2.903787 4.646235 7.808235 13.694208 26.576490
2025-08-24 1.210244 1.830688 2.818922 4.590303 7.881846 14.188227 28.516096
2025-08-31 1.151525 1.763273 2.753139 4.561349 8.001026 14.783797 30.787212
2025-09-07 1.131744 1.758058 2.790522 4.719437 8.493202 16.198554 35.240305
2025-09-14 1.082093 1.699769 2.732844 4.697211 8.626486 16.875306 38.037283
2025-09-21 1.031733 1.637252 2.663521 4.646886 8.696583 17.421919 40.613049
2025-09-28 0.955802 1.526929 2.503398 4.410872 8.359176 17.015104 40.578257
2025-10-05 0.925023 1.493184 2.477876 4.433960 8.570786 17.892904 44.258268
2025-10-12 0.905156 1.477319 2.483408 4.518242 8.922472 19.148677 49.315494
2025-10-19 0.887979 1.465149 2.494694 4.614573 9.310731 20.550152 55.170620
2025-10-26 0.866792 1.444525 2.488733 4.674646 9.622882 21.807166 60.913554